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Methodology

AtlasCore produces deterministic climate outputs from authoritative Australian government data. This page explains how data is selected, composed, and validated.

Principle: government data in, structured evidence out

AtlasCore does not model or estimate emissions. It retrieves, normalises, and composes data from authoritative government publications — the same sources that auditors reference under AASB S2.

Data composition

Company climate profiles

A company climate profile is composed from:

  1. Entity resolution — the ABN is resolved against CER NGER corporate registrations using Splink probabilistic matching, with ABR as the fallback
  2. Emission data — annual Scope 1 and 2 emissions from NGER reporting
  3. Grid intensity — AEMO CDEII emission intensity for the relevant NEM region
  4. Physical climate — BOM SILO gridded observations at the company's primary or site locations

All inputs are persisted before composition. The profile is computed deterministically from stored data — no live API calls occur at query time.

Emission factors

NGA factors are ingested from the DCCEEW workbook:

  1. Each sheet is parsed, handling merged cells and multi-level headers
  2. Raw rows are normalised to canonical categories, scopes, grids, and units
  3. Constituent gases (CO2, CH4, N2O) and combined factors are stored separately
  4. Provenance metadata (source table, sheet, row number, quality grade) is preserved per value

Physical risk assessment

Physical risk uses BOM SILO gridded data (~5km resolution):

  • Temperature — mean temperature as a chronic physical risk indicator
  • Rainfall — rainfall deficit as a chronic physical risk indicator
  • Extreme heat — days exceeding thresholds as an acute physical risk indicator

Risk bands use a 1981–2010 baseline period. Drought modifiers escalate bands when rainfall falls below historical thresholds.

Determinism

AtlasCore guarantees deterministic outputs: the same persisted inputs always produce the same result. This is achieved through:

  • Snapshot isolation — queries reference specific data snapshots, not live sources
  • Evidence hashing — SHA-256 hashes computed from canonical inputs
  • No stochastic models — all computations are deterministic functions of stored data
  • Amendment tracking — factor set changes (corrections, restatements, new editions) are versioned and auditable

Quality controls

ControlMechanism
Source licence auditEvery data source is verified for commercial repackaging rights before inclusion
Snapshot versioningEvery extraction creates a numbered snapshot with quality metrics
Data quality gradeFactor values carry A/B/C quality grades from source metadata
Evidence hashingPer-value and per-response SHA-256 integrity hashes
Five-file bundlesEvery report preserves full provenance regardless of requested format
Amendment trackingFactor set corrections and restatements recorded with diff counts

Limitations

  • Scope 3 — reference factors plus indicative screening-grade estimates for key categories (Cat 3, 5, 6); not disclosure-grade
  • Governance and Strategy — disclosure sections require entity-authored narrative
  • Scenario analysis — CMIP6 projection support implemented; populates when projection data is ingested
  • Market-based Scope 2 — evidence-gated; requires tenant-held contractual instruments
  • Filing — AtlasCore produces disclosure inputs, not regulatory filings

Source authority

All quantitative outputs trace to these government publications:

SourceAuthority
NGA Factors WorkbookDCCEEW (Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water)
NGER emissionsClean Energy Regulator
Grid intensity (CDEII)Australian Energy Market Operator
Climate data (SILO)Bureau of Meteorology
Entity dataAustralian Business Register
Statistical dataAustralian Bureau of Statistics